According to
Thomson Reuters Foundation, Tanzania has plans to rely heavily on coal and
natural gas for its future energy needs, as the country strives to develop its
economy.
A growing
energy deficit has been a constant source of worry for the east African nation.
The lack of adequate energy supplies has been caused partly by recurring
droughts that have crippled hydropower capacity. Some critics have argued that
the government has failed to tap the country’s other renewable energy resources
to help bridge the power gap.
The
government has now launched its 2014 – 2025 Electricity Supply Industry Reform
Strategy and Roadmap, under which it aims to increase electricity generation
from 1583 MW to 10 800 MW in the next 10 years.
Key to the
strategy is a diversification of power generation sources to include much more
natural gas and to introduce coal-fired power generation to the grid.
Two-thirds of the country’s projected total energy capacity will come from coal
and natural gas by the end of the plan, it shows.
Currently,
natural gas accounts for about one-third of Tanzania’s electricity generation.
Hydropower
capacity is projected nearly to quadruple over the coming decade. However, it
will make up only 19% of the mix by 2025. Wind, solar and geothermal will
together generate just 500 MW, less than 5%, according to the plan.
The energy
roadmap is part of the government’s strategy to raise per capita income in
Tanzania from US$ 640 to at least US$ 3000.
“In order
for our country to industrialise and effectively participate in the global
economy, growth in the productive sector of the economy is important and will
require huge investment in electricity infrastructure,” Sospeter Muhongo,
Tanzania’s minister for energy and minerals, said.
The minister
said the government needs finance of US$ 11.4 billion for electricity projects
between 2012 and 2017, with three-quarters of the money going to power
generation.
According to
the plan, the government also aims to participate in the eastern Africa and
southern Africa energy pools to meet present and future demands for
electricity.
Government
statistics show that only 24% of Tanzanians are connected to the national grid,
while the demand for electricity is growing between 10 – 15%/year.
According to
the 2012 census, over 70% of Tanzanians live in rural areas, but only 7% of
these residents were connected to an electricity supply.
Little
access to electricity coupled with low purchasing power has excluded many rural
households from participating effectively in economic activities, the
government said.
The desire
for new energy sources is particularly strong because persistent drought has
repeatedly depleted water levels in major rivers in Tanzania, plunging most of
the hydropower-reliant country into power cuts that have caused huge business
losses and affected government revenues.
Some
analysts have suggested Tanzania could also turn to unconventional resources,
such as coalbed methane (CBM).
NuEnergy Gas
already has already signed joint venture agreements to develop CBM along with
two Tanzanian companies.
Climate
impact
Some risk
analysts have warned that Tanzania is at particular risk, due to its climate
and geographical location, of the effects of climate change and global warming.
They point to fossil fuel use as adding to an increase in climate change and
the release of greenhouse gasses.
This problem
is not entirely Tanzania’s to solve, however, experts point out.
Henry Mahoo,
a climate change expert from Sokoine University of Agriculture in Morogoro,
noted that the climate change affecting Tanzania and other African countries is
caused primarily by the greenhouse gas emissions of industrial countries in the
developed world.
“It is a
global issue we are entangled (in),” Mahoo said. “When it comes to adaptation
(to climate change) we are the weakest because our economies are very poor.”
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